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Christian Allaire's Sailing Life
COME WITH ME ABOARD S/V CHRISTA FOR A RIDE AROUND THE BLUE PLANET STARTING SEPTEMBER 2007
A Close Call But a Non-Event
Capt Chris
10/16/2008, Bahia de Jobos Mangroves, south east coast Puerto Rico

All is well aboard the good ship Christa. Hurricane Omar passed about 70 to 80 miles to the south and east of my position here in the Jobos. Amazingly enough we had no wind and no rain. Here is my speculation. Tropical Storm force winds extended out to 115 miles from Omar's center. But upper level winds were pushing all the energy to the eastern side of the the storm, so 115 miles measured to the east. I was on the northwest side. I am not bummed in the least that I did all this work to lash Christa in for not. What needs to be noted is how close a shave it was. Omar reached Cat 3 status and racked across the Virgin Islands. I'm sure extensive damage was done as few hurricane holes are to be had. But a very small shift to the left and we would have experienced the full brunt. Although I am sure Christa and company would have weathered the storm fine, still the destruction ashore would have been a real pain. Last hurricane to hit the south coast caused power outages that was not restored for 3 months. That would have made my last few days in PR a real pain. So today has been spent removing all the chafe gear and removing and stowing lines. Another boat ran aground at high tide, so I spent an hour or so helping them kedge off. Some tense moments for all hands. All in all this has been a positive experience. The water here is much less salty which is killing all the growth on the bottom which will make cleaning the bottom much easier. Not to mention the Jobos is a wildlife refuge and is as unspoiled as it gets. But the bugs are significant. So tomorrow I'll head back to Salinas and regroup and make preps to start cruising again. Wahoo!

Capt Chris

Lashed to the Mangroves
Capt Chris
10/14/2008, Bahia de Jobos Mangroves, south east coast Puerto Rico

Yesterday morning it became very clear that the disturbance that has been on the my radar for awhile took a turn to negative town. Amazingly enough a tropical low that is now Tropical Storm Omar stopped its westerly advance, stalled and is now forecast to turn around and head northeast toward Puerto Rico. The last time this happened was in 1999 when "left handed Lenny" did the same thing and whacked the Virgin Islands. So after we gained some clarity, myself and another Westsail32, Maktare and Wandering Dolphin with the Burton Family minus Christopher headed out of Salinas harbor. Wandering Dolphin had some excitement as they ran aground. This caused some delay, but Rebecca was able to extract WD from the mud. Maktare and I made the 6 mile trip to the Jobos without incident. As I have mentioned before the mangrove system is stellar protection from the elements. Within the mangroves, Christa, Maktare and Wandering dolphin are situated in a creek like feature that is about 60 feet wide with about 8 foot of water under the keel. Each boat has lines, anchors and chains spidered in all directions that are tied or hooked to the mangroves. Sails have been stripped and stowed and the same goes for canvas. It is a big job to get set up properly. I was a bit stressed yesterday as it seems when all kinds of uncertainties revolve around these system ie will it develop and which direction will it go, cause all kinds of problems for me. Sometimes it is very difficult to know what the right move is or maybe no move is the move. But as soon as we decided to move I began to relax and once we got positioned in one of the best spots I became positively subdued. I slept like a rock last night as tonight should be the same.

So Tropical Storm Omar as of this evening is just 4 knots below a Cat 1 hurricane. Current track keeps shifting further south and east of my position which is good. However it appear that Omar is going to be much more powerful than initially forecast. Some models have it reaching Cat 2 status as it reaches the Virgin Islands early Thursday morning. This means the closet point of approach for me is about 78 miles if it stays on track with tropical storm force winds extending out to 90 miles, I'll be just on the cusp. Also the most vigorous wind is on the east and south side. Puerto Rico should experience the west side. Omar is supposed to pick up forward speed and move quickly which will limit exposure but will create more intensity for the folks on the NE quadrant. So us folks here in the mangroves are prepared for whatever Omar has in store. I'll do my best to update from the sat phone when I can.

Capt Chris

10/14/2008 | Koz
Well done Capt, now seems like a good time to break out the guitar!
10/15/2008 | Tom and Amy
Good Luck, we will be checking on you in a few days when we arrive in Gibralter.
Tom and Amy
10/15/2008 | Kim
You're in my prayers baby...good luck :*
10/16/2008 | Lynn
Well this will be something to tell your grandkids about! Best of luck!
Groundhog Day
Capt Chris
10/12/2008, Salinas Puerto Rico

About a week or so ago I got all full of myself thinking that hurricane season had all about died even though November 30th is the official end of the season. I was lulled into a false sense of security as the weather turned winter like here for a week with temps in 80's vice the usual summer mid 90's. In paragraph three of my 10/6 post I noted some disturbances near the Africa. Well here we are 6 days later and check out the sat photo. First off "Invest 97" which is 1600 miles to my east (not in the sat photo) should be a tropical storm at any moment but thankfully looks like she will steer herself smooth into the open Atlantic. "Invest" by the way stands for Investigate. It is a naming convention the hurricane gurus use to designate disturbed areas. So look south of Puerto Rico and you can see a huge blob of convection and stormy weather. That is "Invest 98" which is doing its best to spin up to a tropical depression. It stands a chance to develop.....where? That's right smack over Puerto Rico. Aye Chiwawa. I say groundhog day because this situation is just about exactly what happened with "Invest 93" just a scant week or two ago. In Salinas we received just under 30 inches of rain from 93. 98 is setting up to do nearly the same thing. The silver lining appears to be that the system has some hostile upper level winds which is retarding its development. But all hands need to keep a sharp eye in case 98 becomes a tropical storm or worse. Little time would be available to weight anchor to get to the mangroves. Even then transiting to the mangroves with 50 knot squalls coming through would be no fun and challenging seamanship wise not to mention the lashing in process.

From what I have learned what is occurring is not abnormal and really is in line with the past Octobers. As the season gets later and later the systems struggle much more to become a hurricane. Water temps are starting to drop but more importantly the jet stream dips much lower which exposes these disturbances to more upper level winds and they the tops of the clouds get sheared. Also the cyclone genesis becomes much more concentrated in the central and southwest Caribbean instead of Africa. Although all kinds of crazy things start happening at the changing of seasons. Right now things are so complicated in the Atlantic and Caribbean the forecasters preface their forecast with "I have low confidence with this forecast" meaning everything is speculation. The lesson for the sailor is to pay close attention, hope for the best but be prepared for anything.

Capt Chris

10/13/2008 | Kim
Very intriguing. I could have cared less about what I just read 2 weeks ago, but it's all become very interesting. I feel I have something invested in understanding the "Tropical Storms". Good luck hon.
10/13/2008 | George Marcinko
Hi Chris, I tried to call you on the cell phone a couple of weeks ago, did you get the voice mail? As for the WX getting favorable, I would not bet on it. This is the time of year when some storms are spawned in the western Atlantic and Caribbean Sea. Looks like you will have to find a good storm hole in a couple of days. Take care and good luck.... George
10/14/2008 | Capt. Jim
Hi, we just got back from the Annapolis Sailboat show. At a seminar given by Don Street, he recommended using Imray-Iolaire Charts from Weems & Plath for the Caribbean. Is that what you use? Thanks!
Update
Capt Chris, very very nice weather today
10/06/2008, Salinas Puerto Rico

Sorry for the lapse in time since my last post. I have been busy with my new floorboards for the dingy. View them above. So I am very happy to have this project complete as it has been on the work list for quite sometime. To have the boards replaced by Achilles would have cost more than $500 boat dollars. Gulp. This is the nature of boats. But a local fella, Steve took my old boards and fashioned up some new ones out of marine grade plywood. I then spent the week laying down epoxy and then painting. I also had to order the new plastic strips that connect the board system. I know the color really is kind of ugly, but I used existing paint that I had aboard plus the uglier the less chance of it being stolen. Or so goes the theory.

So I have been quite shocked over my last blog regarding the little puppy that popped up on the radar. What is funny is I never mentioned nor ever entertained actually adopting the little critter. Quite the buzz in the comments section. No having a dog aboard would cramp me a little to much, especially a puppy. But sometime in future when I get back ashore I certainly will be gathering up some pets. But let it be known that the little pup pictured has been adopted.

So over the past week I have really been excited about the change in weather. The nights have been cooler and the days clearer and more crisp. A sure sign that the winter is around the corner and the hurricane season is ending. However, much to my dismay, some active weather is south and east of the Cape Verde Islands. Some of the computer models develop these areas of low pressure systems into hurricanes. The experts say that Cape Verde type storms this late in the year are unusual. In fact only 4 hurricanes have hit the Lesser Antilles since 1851 during the month of October. But the ocean is plenty warm even though the water is starting to cool. So lets hope that wind shear or whatever destroys these systems before they even develop.

Awhile ago Brian Kos asked what the plan is in terms of rolling out of Salinas. The current plan is to make the call somewhere around October 15th. If the tropics look calm and nothing seems to be spinning up I'll head out of Salinas to the Spanish Virgin Islands. I then would hang out in Culebra for most of the month of November and then be in St. Thomas and St. John area around December 1st. But all plans are subject to change as always. One thing is for sure, I am ready to get moving!

Capt Chris

10/06/2008 | Mike
Hello Cpt Chris, it is good news that you will soon be heading south once again. Will you refresh our memories and tell us when you arrived in Puerto Rico?
I agree with your take on having a dog onboard. My Lab, Bella, adjusted well to life onboard. That said, when he laid down inside the cabin he was a constant hurdle to get around or over. His dog food alone took up a LOT of space. And each time we tacked the look on his face seemed to say, "let me off this thing, I'd rather be swimming."
Mike
former skipper of 2LazyDogs
10/07/2008 | Ken on Satori (formerly)
You are 100% correct. A pet will handicap you a bunch. Wait til you swallow the anchor. Ken
10/09/2008 | Tom and Amy
Is't that my old dinghy????
10/09/2008 | Christian Allaire
Yes Tom.....remember we traded my old Saye's Rig for the dink. You bought it from Bob at PYC. I know your jealous of the floorboards! Glad you made it safe to Spain. See you in the Islands this winter! Tom?
An Abandoned Puppy
Capt Chris, sunny and beautiful
09/29/2008, Salinas Puerto Rico

As many of you know I spend at bunch of time at the Cruisers Galley due to the food, wi-fi, AC and big screened TV. The owner Diasha, among other things spends alot of money rescuing animals. One of the greatly disturbing things to me about Puerto Rico is the insane amount of stray cats and dogs running rampant. I'm not saying that animals should be elevated to human status but the contempt that many treat animals here does not thrill me. A culture clash no doubt. So the little guy pictured was left in a card board box on Diasha's door step last night. A real heartbreaker.

So I am back from my house sitting adventure a couple of days early. I started to have a crisis of confidence that my pre-arranged ride from San Juan back to Salinas was going to fall through. This would have been a real problem that only could be solved by an expenditure of alot of money. So when a fellow cruiser who had a car ( a CWC...cruiser with a car) came up to San Juan with team Wandering Dolphin to pick me up. We had a nice dinner in Caguas and arrived back to HQ here in Salinas as the evening stars appeared.

So thankfully the disturbance that was to my east was destroyed by high upper level winds and things seem okay weather wise. So back to the grid of retirement.

Capt Chris

09/29/2008 | fletch
Looks like a great first mate you have there.
09/29/2008 | tony&kim
You should keep the little guy! We are living aboard - not yet cruising - and our dog loves the boat. He looks like he could be a great companion and good sentry - and since he's young, you have an opportunity to train him to your own specs...teach him all about running on the beach and riding in the dinghy (another thing our dog adores).
09/30/2008 | lee
Hi Chris
This is PEPE putting in his two cents. Keep the dog he will be a lot pleasure in time.
PEPE
09/30/2008 | Tracy
Keep him! Alexa will just die when she sees this!
09/30/2008 | fernie
UUUNNNNCCCCCLLLLLEEEEE CCC
you must keep him just like pepe said he or she will pay off in the long run if you feel lonley in a vast stretch of sea with no land in sight ooooohhhh and i wont talk to you anymore if you dont take him or her.... and i highly suggest naming him arrow
09/30/2008 | Kristofer Burton
Hahaha! You people actually think Christian needs a dog? Ever watched the Sienfeld where he takes care of the dog? that's Christian.
10/02/2008 | kristi
So your extremely busy music therapist/opera singer friend says you need to keep this puppy!! He came into your life for a reason. He can be your 1st mate!! What an adorable little puppy. Anyways hope all is well. I'm crazy busy. NYU has taken over my life! We will talk soon though! Take care.
10/06/2008 | Paddy Barry
I am friends with Sandpiper and sailed across the Pacific with them. Do not get a dog if you want to keep your options open about where you can cruise. Animals present lots of obstacles to the cruisers I have met in the last 5 years. Not worth the hassle.
10/06/2008 | fred
you should keep the dog i can see him on your boat now dont give him to mary he wants to stay with you.
10/07/2008 | Tom and Amy
Seems like that everyone is leaving responses on this post, keep the dog!! Thanks for the great weather forcasting as we are now in Spain and we pulled in just at the winds were cracking at 20 knots from the NW, If we had waited 6 hours longer on this 900 mile passage we would have taken a serious pounding and still be out there being pounded. Your forecast totally savded us.....You Rule!!!!!!!!!!!
Tom

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