Wx Update, E Caribbean Wed03 10am. ASCAT: E of Leewards to 15N Winds SE10-15kts, E of Windward Islands to Venezuela E/15-18kts IMAGERY: Ridging from the E is suppressing showers over the region, some scattered showers near Haiti NE to S Bahamas SYNOPSIS: This mornings Sfc. Analysis has a 988 MB Low [...]

Wx Update, E Caribbean Tue02 10am. ASCAT: Winds E-ENE 10-15kts S of Puerto Rico/DomRep to 15N. ESE 15N S to Venezuela IMAGERY: Showers from E Cuba to North of Hispaniola. Rest of region clear. SYNOPSIS: As discussed yesterday another low has developed along the subtropical jet and is moving E. This morning a 1002MB Low is analyzed in the Gulf of Mexico just off the Fla. Panhandle. It is trailing a cold Front SW into the eastern Bay of Campeche and moving toward the Yucatan Peninsula. NW-N winds 20-30kts are indicated behind the front. Models are in agreement moving the Low Quickly over N. Fla. this morning. Near midnight Tue02 the front will be over S Central Exumas trailing SW over Central Cuba, continuing across the W Caribbean to Southern Nicaragua. Wed03 Am the front is located just N of the East Caribbean. Strong SW winds 20-25kts still accompany the front. By Thu04 evening the front will have cleared the Bahamas and be located just N Hispaniola crossing the W Caribbean to Costa Rica. Front will become stationary over Hispaniola and just N of Puerto Rico on late Thu04 and remain stalled in that same area as it dissipates over the weekend. Expect increased chanc e of showers over DomRep, Puerto Rico and the Northern Virgin Islands thru the weekend as front will provide some instability to the area. High Pressure will build over the SE US Wed03-Sat06; Northerly winds 18-20kts are expected over the Bahamas beginning late Wed03 and the Northern E Caribbean Fri05 Precip: No precip expected until late in the week as the front mention above moves into Northern E Caribbean and becomes stationary and dissipates over the weekend. Expect showers and isolated TSTMs Fri-5-Sun07 near DomRep, Puerto Rico, and the N Virgin Islands. Winds: N of Dom/Rep: Tue02 105/12-15kts, Wed03 185/10kts, Thu04 340/10kts, Fri05 325/10-15kts, Sat06 325/15kts S Of Dom/Rep: Tue02 115/10kts, Wed03 125/5-10kts, Thu04 120/8-10kts, Fri05 045/10kts, Sat06 010/15kts San Juan: Tue02 125/10kts, Wed03 150/10-15kts, Thu04 145/10kts, Fri05 150/8-10kts, Sat06 200/10kts Saint Croix: Tue02 130/10kts, Wed03 150/15kts, Thu04 155/10kts, Fri05 165/10kts, Sat06 185/15kts Antigua: Tue02 110/10kts, Wed03 135/10-15kts, Thu04 140/10-15kts, Fri05 140/10-15kts, Sat06 150/10kts Martinique: Tue02 100/10-12kts, Wed03 130/10-15kts, Thu04 125/15kts, Fri05 130/15kts, Sat06 145/10-15kts Grenada: Tue02 095/10-15kts, Wed03 110/10-15kts, Thu04 120/15kts, Fri05 130/10-15kts, Sat06 120/10-15kts Port-of-Spain: Tue02 095/12kts, Wed03 100/14kts, Thu04 110/12kts, Fri05 110/15kts, Sat06 095/12-15kts Bonaire Basin: Tue02 085/12-14kts, Wed03 060/15kts, Thu04 070/10kts, Fri05 045/10kts, Sat06 070/10kts Aruba: Tue02 085/15kts, Wed03 105/15-18kts, Thu04 095/10kts, Fri05 080/10kts, Sat06 070/10kts SEAS: N of Dom/Rep: Tue02 330/4-5ft 9s, Wed03 001/4-5ft 10s, Thu04 325/6-7ft 11s, Fri05 330/5-6ft 10s, Sat06 340/5-6ft 9s S Of Dom/Rep: Tue02 120/3-4ft 5s, Wed03 130/3-4ft 6s, Thu04 130/3-4ft 7s, Fri05 125/3-4ft 6s, Sat06 355/3-4ft 5s San Juan: Tue02 020/3-4ft 10s, Wed03 135/3-4ft 6s, Thu04 125/4-5ft 6s, Fri05 125/3-4ft 6s, Sat06 342.2-3ft 11s Saint Croix: Tue02 330/5-6ft 10s, Wed03 355/4-6ft 11s, Thu04 350/4-5ft 11s, Fri05 320/6-7ft 12s, Sat06 320/5-6ft 10s Antigua: Tue02 355/5-6ft 7s, Wed03 002/4-6ft 10s, Thu04 345/5-6ft 12s, Fri05 325/5-6ft 12s, Sat06 315/5-6ft 10s Martinique: Tue02 025/4-5ft 8s, Wed03 005/5-6ft 10s, Thu04 350/5-6ft 12s, Fri05 110/4-6ft 9s, Sat06 105/4-5ft 7s Grenada: Tue02 030/4-5ft 7s, Wed03 105/5-6ft 6s, Thu04 105/5-6ft 7s, Fri05 100/3-5ft 7s, Sat06 105/5-6ft 7s Port-of-Spain: Tue02 025/3-4ft 7s, Wed03 098/5-6ft 7s, Thu04 085/5-6ft 7s, Fri05 085/4-5ft 7s, Sat06 085/3-4ft 7s Bonaire Basin: Tue02 095/3-4ft 5s, Wed03 075/5-6ft 6s, Thu04 095/3-4ft 6s, Fri05 080/3-4ft 6s, Sat06 095/3-4ft 6s Aruba: Tue02 095/-4ft 5s, Wed03 105/5-6ft 7s, Thu04095/5-6ft 7s, Fri05 095/3-4ft 6s, Sat06 070/3-4ft 7s

Wx Update, E Caribbean Fri Feb 26 09am. ASCAT: Data NA for E Caribbean IMAGERY: Showers over Hispaniola and N of Puerto Rico rest of region only scatter mid to high-level clouds SYNOPSIS: Strong Low still plaguing the NE US with potential record-breaking snowfall is trailing a Cold Front S near 65W to just E of Hispaniola, and then extends across the W Caribbean to near Panama. The Western portion of the front from S of Hispaniola to Panama will dissipate to today. The remaining portion will continue to move E getting just S of Puerto Rico. The front will stall then began to move back North as a Warm Front late Sat27 and dissipate by early Sun28. Showers/TSTMS will accompany this front as it moves E then back N again. Dom/Rep E including Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands can expect cloudy and unstable conditions thru Sun28 morning. Behind the Front Fla. and the Bahamas should enjoy fair weather thru Sat27 at that time the next low forming today in the Western Gulf Of Mexico will have move E along the Gulf Coast to Fla. The Low will continue E over N Fla. and the associated Cold Front will begin to move from Fla. into the Bahamas. By Sun28 morning the Front will lie between Fla. and the Bahamas and extend SW across West Cuba and continues SW to near Belize. By Mon01 morning the Cold front will have pressed SE thru the Bahamas and be positioned between Dom/Rep and Puerto Rico. Once again this front has support and strong S-SW/20-25G30kts before the front followed by equally strong NW-N winds behind the front should be expected. Then a day of rest until the next front follows nearly the same track and begins to enter the N Bahamas Tue02 and presses S to the Northern E Caribbean by Wed03. In the E Caribbean from the Virgin Islands S. Conditions reamin stable. As Fronts continue to move thru the Bahamas and the N portion of the East Caribbean the gradient will not intensify much so a continue period of relaxed trades can be expected FCST: Precip: Showers and TSTMS will continue along the frontal Boundary today. Showers/TSTMS (some heavy) over Dom/REP and Northern E East Caribbean today, tonight and tomorrow. Winds: N of Dom/Rep: Fri26 015/10-15kts, Sat27 135/10-15kts, Sun28 315/10-15kts, Mon01 025/10kts, Tue02 095/15kts S Of Dom/Rep: Fri26 075/10-15kts, Sat27 120/12-15kts, Sun28 175/10kts, Mon01 060/10-12kts, Tue02 090/10kts San Juan: Fri26 280/5-10kts, Sat27 100/10kts, Sun28 150/10-12kts, Mon01 100/8-10kts, Tue02 098/10kts Saint Croix: Fri26 224/10kts, Sat27 095/10-13kts, Sun28 165/10kts, Mon01 155/10kts, Tue02 085/10kts St JohnÂ's: Fri26 180/10kts, Sat27 095/10-12kts, Sun28 135/10kts, Mon01 125/10-15kts, Tue02 092/10kts Martinique: Fri26 145/10kts, Sat27 085/10-12kts, Sun28 115/10kts, Mon01 115/13-15kts, Tue02 090/10-12kts Grenada: Fri26 115/10kts, Sat27 082/10kts, Sun28 095/10-15kts, Mon01 085/15kts, Tue02 095/10-15kts Port-of-Spain: Fri26 100/10kts, Sat27 055/10kts, Sun28 100/10kts, Mon01 085/14kts, Tue02 090/12kts Bonaire Basin: Fri26 095/10kts,Sat27 065/10kts, Sun28 060/12kts, Mon01 050/14kts, Tue02 070/12-14kts Aruba: Fri26 075/8kts Sat27 105/13kts, Sun28 095/12-14kts, Mon01 095/15kts, Tue02 100/15kts SEAS: N of Dom/Rep: Fri26 035/5-6ft 13s, Sat27 005/4-6ft 11s, Sun28 025/4-5ft 9s, Mon01 320/5-6ft 10s, Tue02 330/4-5ft 9s S Of Dom/Rep: Fri26 070/3ft 4s, Sat27 085/3-4ft 4s, Sun28 105/3ft 5s, Mon01 100/3ft 7s, Tue02 075/3-4ft 5s San Juan: Fri26 035/3-4ft 13s,Sat27 033/5-6ft 12s, Sun28 025/3-4ft 12s, Mon01 020.3-4ft 11s, Tue02 012/3-4ft 10s Saint Croix: Fri26 030/4-5ft 13s, Sat27 030/5-6ft 12s, Sun28 015/5-6ft 12s, Mon01 010/4-5ft 11s, Tue02 330/5-6ft 10s St JohnÂ's: Fri26 030/3-4ft 13s, Sat27 030/4-5ft 12s, Sun28 013/5-6ft 12s, Mon01 015/5-6ft 11s, Tue02 335/5-6ft 10s Martinique: Fri26 090/3-4ft 13s, Sat27 025/3-4ft 12s, Sun28 013/5-6ft 12s, Mon01 015/3-4ft 12s, Tue02 355/5-6ft 11s Grenada: Fri26 100/3-4ft 8s, Sat27 026/3ft 13s, Sun28 023/4-5ft 12s, Mon01 022/3-4ft 12s, Tue02 020/4-5ft 10s Port-of-Spain: Fri26 092/3-4ft 8s, Sat27 025/3ft 13s, Sun28 020/3-4ft 12s, Mon01 025/3-4ft 12s, Tue02 025/3-4ft 9s Bonaire Basin: Fri26 028/3ft 13s,Sat27 030/3-4ft 13s, Sun28 095/3-4ft 6s, Mon01 090/4-5ft 5skts, Tue02 090/3-4ft 5s Aruba: Fri26 035/3ft 13s, Sat27 035/3-4ft 11s, Sun28 095/3-4ft 5s, Mon01 100/3-4ft 6s, Tue02 055/3-4ft 5s