Wx Update E Caribbean Thu30 Jul 2009 08am
Ed Bilicki
30 July 2009 | Oriental
Wx Update, E Caribbean, Thu30, 8am 6am gridded QuickScat: Data N/A over E Caribbean. IMAGERY: Area of Showers/TSTMs from E of St Vincent W to 69W and S of 16N to just N of Venezuela. SYNOPSIS: The Atlantic High 1026MB and its ridging continues as the main features over the Bahamas and Caribbean today. The ridging continues S of Bermuda thru Central FL and across the Gulf of Mexico along 27N. Ridging will begin to shift N over the weekend as the High moves a bit more to the NE. A tropical wave will move thru the E Caribbean today. This morning it was located along 61W from 19N S to Venezuela and moving W at 20kts. Water vapor imagery indicates deep moisture near the wave over the Windwards and is spilling into the E Caribbean from just N of Venezuela the waters S of Puerto Rico. Showers/Squalls are moving thru the Windwards this morning and are expected to build over Puerto Rico/DomRep this afternoon. OUTLOOK: Conditions will remain unchanged thru Sat01 when the High in Atlantic begins to move to the NE. Trades will continue brisk with only widely scattered diurnal showers/TSTMS expected. Once High moves NE pressure gradient will relax reducing the trades to 15kts Sun02 thru early next week. A Tropical wave near 31W Sof 24N is moving W at 15kts. A cyclonic swirl in low to mid-level flow is indicated in the satellite imagery. Moisture is available but dry air in the mid to upper level is reducing the development of convection near the wave. Wave will move into the E Caribbean this weekend. No Tropical Depressions or Storms expected early next week. FCST Precip: Showers/Squalls over the Central E Caribbean Sea will spread N to Puerto Rico and Dom/Rep this afternoon. Windward and Leeward Islands only chance for isolated showers thru Sat01. Venezuela and the ABC's isolated showers/light squalls today thru Sat01. WIND N of DomRep: Thu30 104/15-18kts, Fri31 105/15-18kts, Sat01 105/15-18kts, Sun02 108/15-18kts, Mon03 105/15kts S of DomRep: Thu30 080/18-20kts, Fri31 095/20kts, Sat01 082/20kts, Sun02 085/20kts, Mon03 085/20kts N Puerto Rico: Thu30 095/15-18kts, Fri31 085/15-18kts, Sat01 090/15-18kts, Sun02 079/15-18kts, Mon03 080/15kts VirginIslands: Thu30 085/15-18kts, Fri31 080/15-18kts, Sat01 075/15-18kts, Sun02 070 15-18kts, Mon03 065/15-18kts Leewards: Thu30 095/15-18kts, Fri31 075/15-18kts, Sat01 075/15-18kts, Sun02 065/15kts, Mon03 070/15kts Windwards: Thu30 095/15kts, Fri31 085/15kts, Sat01 070/15kts, Sun02 065/15kts, Mon03 067/15kts Venezuela: Thu30 090/12-15kts, Fri31 085/12-15kts, Sat01 075/12-15kts, Sun02 070/12-15kts, Mon03 070/12-15kts ABCs: Thu30 095/18-20kts, Fri31 100/20kts, Sat01 095/20kts, Sun02 080/20kts, Mon03 085/15-20kts SEAS: N of DomRep: Thu30 095/4-5ft 7s, Fri31 095/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 085/4-5ft 7s S of DomRep: Thu30 090/7-8ft 7s, Fri31 100/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 095/6ft 7s, Sun02 098/5-6ft 6s, Mon03 095/5-6ft 6s N Puerto Rico: Thu30 090/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 090/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 085/4-5ft 7s VirginIslands: Thu30 086/6-7ft 7s, Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 080/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 080/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 084/5-6ft 7s Leewards: Thu30 080/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 075/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 075/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 070/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 065/5-6ft 7s Windwards: Thu30 075/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 085/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 065/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 075/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 070/4-5ft 7s Venezuela: Thu30 070/3-4ft 7s, Fri31 070/4-5ft 7s, Sat01 070/3-4ft 7s, Sun02 070/3-4ft 7s, Mon03 070/3-4ft 7s ABCs: Thu30 075/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 080/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 075/6-7ft 7s, Sun02 080/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s