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Wx Update E Caribbean Fri 31 Jul 2009 08am
Ed Bilicki
31 July 2009 | Oriental
Wx Update, E Caribbean, Fri31, 8am 6am gridded QuickScat: W of Leeward/Windward Islands, Puerto Rica S to 12N E 15-20kts. Puerto Rico -DomRep S to 13N ENE20-25kts. Coastal Venezuela ENE10-15kts N of Virgin Islands to DomRep ENE 15-20kts. IMAGERY: Area of Showers/TSTMs Margarita moving W. Area conviction 14N to just south of DomRep between 72W-75W SYNOPSIS: The main feature in the Bahamas and Caribbean continues to be the ridging produced by the Atlantic High 1026MB located this near 32N 54W. Ridging continues SW from the High over Central FL and W near 28N across the Gulf of Mexico. Waves continue to move thru the Caribbean. This morning a Wave is located along 70W from the DomRep to Venezuela. This wave is producing some squalls over the DomRep S to near the ABCs. Wave is moving W at 19kts and will enter the W Caribbean latter today. A second wave is currently near 42W. This wave has a rather large amplitude and extends from 22N S to 7N is moving E at 20kts. By Sat01 evening it will be near 56W from 25N-7N. By late Sun02 the wave will enter the E Caribbean producing scattered showers and squalls N of the Virgin Islands S to NE Venezuela. Wave will continue E and be near DomRep Mon03 OUTLOOK: Conditions will remain unchanged thru Sun02 when the High in Atlantic begins to move to the NE and the next wave enters the E Caribbean. Trades will continue brisk with only widely scattered diurnal showers/TSTMS expected. Pressure gradient will relax reducing the trades to 15kts Sun02 thru early next week. As mentioned above a Tropical wave near 42W will move into the E Caribbean Sun02. No Tropical Depressions or Storms expected early next week. FCST Precip: Dry air over the region is dampening convective activity. Only slight chance for isolated showers over the region this weekend with and increase in showers as Wave enters the E Caribbean Sun02. WIND N of DomRep: Fri31 095/15-18kts, Sat01 095/15-18kts, Sun02 090/15-18kts, Mon03 080/15kts, Tue04 075/15kts S of DomRep: Fri31 085/20kts, Sat01 092/20kts, Sun02 075/20kts, Mon03 075/20kts, Tue04 080/15-20kts N Puerto Rico: Fri31 090/15kts, Sat01 090/15kts, Sun02 085/15-18kts, Mon03 090/15-18kts, Tue04 090/15-18kts VirginIslands: Fri31 080/15kts, Sat01 075/15-18kts, Sun02 100/15-18kts, Mon03 095/15-18kts, Tue04 080/15-18kts Leewards: Fri31 080/15kts, Sat01 078/15-18kts, Sun02 100/15kts, Mon03 090/15kts, Tue04 080/15kts Windwards: Fri31 085/15kts, Sat01 070/15kts, Sun02 105/15kts, Mon03 085/15kts, Tue04 075/15kts Venezuela: Fri31 085/12-15kts, Sat01 085/12-15kts, Sun02 090/12kts, Mon03 080/12-15kts, Tue04 075/12-15kts ABCs: Fri31 105/20kts, Sat01 095/20kts, Sun02 080/20kts, Mon03 085/15-20kts, Tue04 085/15-20kts SEAS: N of DomRep: Fri31 085/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 080/4-5ft 7s, Tue04 082/4-5ft 7s S of DomRep: Fri31 090/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 100/6ft 7s, Sun02 095/5-6ft 6s, Mon03 095/5-6ft 6s, Tue04 082/5-6ft 6s N Puerto Rico: Fri31 095/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 085/4-5ft 7s, Tue04 085/5-6ft 7s VirginIslands: Fri31 085/5-6ft 8s, Sat01 075/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 075/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s, Tue04 080/5-6ft 7s Leewards: Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 075/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 070/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s, Tue04 075/5-6ft 7s Windwards: Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 075/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 070/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 070/4-5ft 7s, Tue04 065/4-5ft 8s Venezuela: Fri31 060/4-5ft 7s, Sat01 070/3-4ft 7s, Sun02 065/3-4ft 7s, Mon03 060/3-4ft 7s, Tue04 065/3-4ft 8s ABCs: Fri31 075/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 080/6-7ft 7s, Sun02 070/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s, Tue04 070/4-5ft 6s
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