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Wx Update E Caribbean Fri 31 Jul 2009 08am

Ed Bilicki — Fri, 31 Jul 2009 07:23:00 -0500

Wx Update, E Caribbean, Fri31, 8am 6am gridded QuickScat: W of Leeward/Windward Islands, Puerto Rica S to 12N E 15-20kts. Puerto Rico -DomRep S to 13N ENE20-25kts. Coastal Venezuela ENE10-15kts N of Virgin Islands to DomRep ENE 15-20kts. IMAGERY: Area of Showers/TSTMs Margarita moving W. Area conviction 14N to just south of DomRep between 72W-75W SYNOPSIS: The main feature in the Bahamas and Caribbean continues to be the ridging produced by the Atlantic High 1026MB located this near 32N 54W. Ridging continues SW from the High over Central FL and W near 28N across the Gulf of Mexico. Waves continue to move thru the Caribbean. This morning a Wave is located along 70W from the DomRep to Venezuela. This wave is producing some squalls over the DomRep S to near the ABCs. Wave is moving W at 19kts and will enter the W Caribbean latter today. A second wave is currently near 42W. This wave has a rather large amplitude and extends from 22N S to 7N is moving E at 20kts. By Sat01 evening it will be near 56W from 25N-7N. By late Sun02 the wave will enter the E Caribbean producing scattered showers and squalls N of the Virgin Islands S to NE Venezuela. Wave will continue E and be near DomRep Mon03 OUTLOOK: Conditions will remain unchanged thru Sun02 when the High in Atlantic begins to move to the NE and the next wave enters the E Caribbean. Trades will continue brisk with only widely scattered diurnal showers/TSTMS expected. Pressure gradient will relax reducing the trades to 15kts Sun02 thru early next week. As mentioned above a Tropical wave near 42W will move into the E Caribbean Sun02. No Tropical Depressions or Storms expected early next week. FCST Precip: Dry air over the region is dampening convective activity. Only slight chance for isolated showers over the region this weekend with and increase in showers as Wave enters the E Caribbean Sun02. WIND N of DomRep: Fri31 095/15-18kts, Sat01 095/15-18kts, Sun02 090/15-18kts, Mon03 080/15kts, Tue04 075/15kts S of DomRep: Fri31 085/20kts, Sat01 092/20kts, Sun02 075/20kts, Mon03 075/20kts, Tue04 080/15-20kts N Puerto Rico: Fri31 090/15kts, Sat01 090/15kts, Sun02 085/15-18kts, Mon03 090/15-18kts, Tue04 090/15-18kts VirginIslands: Fri31 080/15kts, Sat01 075/15-18kts, Sun02 100/15-18kts, Mon03 095/15-18kts, Tue04 080/15-18kts Leewards: Fri31 080/15kts, Sat01 078/15-18kts, Sun02 100/15kts, Mon03 090/15kts, Tue04 080/15kts Windwards: Fri31 085/15kts, Sat01 070/15kts, Sun02 105/15kts, Mon03 085/15kts, Tue04 075/15kts Venezuela: Fri31 085/12-15kts, Sat01 085/12-15kts, Sun02 090/12kts, Mon03 080/12-15kts, Tue04 075/12-15kts ABCs: Fri31 105/20kts, Sat01 095/20kts, Sun02 080/20kts, Mon03 085/15-20kts, Tue04 085/15-20kts SEAS: N of DomRep: Fri31 085/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 080/4-5ft 7s, Tue04 082/4-5ft 7s S of DomRep: Fri31 090/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 100/6ft 7s, Sun02 095/5-6ft 6s, Mon03 095/5-6ft 6s, Tue04 082/5-6ft 6s N Puerto Rico: Fri31 095/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 085/4-5ft 7s, Tue04 085/5-6ft 7s VirginIslands: Fri31 085/5-6ft 8s, Sat01 075/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 075/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s, Tue04 080/5-6ft 7s Leewards: Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 075/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 070/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s, Tue04 075/5-6ft 7s Windwards: Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 075/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 070/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 070/4-5ft 7s, Tue04 065/4-5ft 8s Venezuela: Fri31 060/4-5ft 7s, Sat01 070/3-4ft 7s, Sun02 065/3-4ft 7s, Mon03 060/3-4ft 7s, Tue04 065/3-4ft 8s ABCs: Fri31 075/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 080/6-7ft 7s, Sun02 070/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s, Tue04 070/4-5ft 6s (View Post...)

Wx Update E Caribbean Thu30 Jul 2009 08am

Ed Bilicki — Thu, 30 Jul 2009 07:20:00 -0500

Wx Update, E Caribbean, Thu30, 8am 6am gridded QuickScat: Data N/A over E Caribbean. IMAGERY: Area of Showers/TSTMs from E of St Vincent W to 69W and S of 16N to just N of Venezuela. SYNOPSIS: The Atlantic High 1026MB and its ridging continues as the main features over the Bahamas and Caribbean today. The ridging continues S of Bermuda thru Central FL and across the Gulf of Mexico along 27N. Ridging will begin to shift N over the weekend as the High moves a bit more to the NE. A tropical wave will move thru the E Caribbean today. This morning it was located along 61W from 19N S to Venezuela and moving W at 20kts. Water vapor imagery indicates deep moisture near the wave over the Windwards and is spilling into the E Caribbean from just N of Venezuela the waters S of Puerto Rico. Showers/Squalls are moving thru the Windwards this morning and are expected to build over Puerto Rico/DomRep this afternoon. OUTLOOK: Conditions will remain unchanged thru Sat01 when the High in Atlantic begins to move to the NE. Trades will continue brisk with only widely scattered diurnal showers/TSTMS expected. Once High moves NE pressure gradient will relax reducing the trades to 15kts Sun02 thru early next week. A Tropical wave near 31W Sof 24N is moving W at 15kts. A cyclonic swirl in low to mid-level flow is indicated in the satellite imagery. Moisture is available but dry air in the mid to upper level is reducing the development of convection near the wave. Wave will move into the E Caribbean this weekend. No Tropical Depressions or Storms expected early next week. FCST Precip: Showers/Squalls over the Central E Caribbean Sea will spread N to Puerto Rico and Dom/Rep this afternoon. Windward and Leeward Islands only chance for isolated showers thru Sat01. Venezuela and the ABC's isolated showers/light squalls today thru Sat01. WIND N of DomRep: Thu30 104/15-18kts, Fri31 105/15-18kts, Sat01 105/15-18kts, Sun02 108/15-18kts, Mon03 105/15kts S of DomRep: Thu30 080/18-20kts, Fri31 095/20kts, Sat01 082/20kts, Sun02 085/20kts, Mon03 085/20kts N Puerto Rico: Thu30 095/15-18kts, Fri31 085/15-18kts, Sat01 090/15-18kts, Sun02 079/15-18kts, Mon03 080/15kts VirginIslands: Thu30 085/15-18kts, Fri31 080/15-18kts, Sat01 075/15-18kts, Sun02 070 15-18kts, Mon03 065/15-18kts Leewards: Thu30 095/15-18kts, Fri31 075/15-18kts, Sat01 075/15-18kts, Sun02 065/15kts, Mon03 070/15kts Windwards: Thu30 095/15kts, Fri31 085/15kts, Sat01 070/15kts, Sun02 065/15kts, Mon03 067/15kts Venezuela: Thu30 090/12-15kts, Fri31 085/12-15kts, Sat01 075/12-15kts, Sun02 070/12-15kts, Mon03 070/12-15kts ABCs: Thu30 095/18-20kts, Fri31 100/20kts, Sat01 095/20kts, Sun02 080/20kts, Mon03 085/15-20kts SEAS: N of DomRep: Thu30 095/4-5ft 7s, Fri31 095/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 085/4-5ft 7s S of DomRep: Thu30 090/7-8ft 7s, Fri31 100/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 095/6ft 7s, Sun02 098/5-6ft 6s, Mon03 095/5-6ft 6s N Puerto Rico: Thu30 090/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 090/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 085/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 085/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 085/4-5ft 7s VirginIslands: Thu30 086/6-7ft 7s, Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 080/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 080/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 084/5-6ft 7s Leewards: Thu30 080/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 075/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 075/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 070/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 065/5-6ft 7s Windwards: Thu30 075/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 085/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 065/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 075/4-5ft 7s, Mon03 070/4-5ft 7s Venezuela: Thu30 070/3-4ft 7s, Fri31 070/4-5ft 7s, Sat01 070/3-4ft 7s, Sun02 070/3-4ft 7s, Mon03 070/3-4ft 7s ABCs: Thu30 075/5-6ft 7s, Fri31 080/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 075/6-7ft 7s, Sun02 080/5-6ft 7s, Mon03 075/5-6ft 7s (View Post...)

Wx Update E Caribbean Wed29 Jul 2009 08am

Ed Bilicki — Wed, 29 Jul 2009 07:33:00 -0500

Wx Update, E Caribbean, Wed29, 8am 6am gridded QuickScat: Virgin Islands S and E of 65W S to Venezuela NE 15-20, 65W S of Puerto Rico to 12N ENE 20-25kts, Data N/A W of 66W IMAGERY: Dry Saharan air is hampering any convective activity in the E Caribbean this morning. Area of scattered cumulus blowing over the region from S of Virgin Islands to Coastal Venezuela and the ABCs. E Caribbean is clear of any enhanced imagery in this mornings Satellite. SYNOPSIS: A 1031MB High is near 33N 56W and ridging continues S of Bermuda to FL and crosses the Gulf of Mexico near 28N little change is expect thru Fri31 when High will begin to shift slightly to the NE. Winds are generally E-SE 5-10kts from the N Bahamas, across FL into the Estrn Gulf of Mexico. Dry Hazy Saharan air is over the E Caribbean today is reducing any chance for showers/TSTMS. Tropical Waves continue to move thru the Caribbean. A wave currently along 54W S of 18N moving W at 20kts will reach the E Caribbean this evening, wave will produce some light to Moderate Showers/Squalls as it passes thru the E Caribbean Wed29 evening thru early Thu30 morning. Winds in the Southern Bahamas and Northern portion of the E Caribbean are still brisk with 20-25kt OUTLOOK: Conditions will remain unchanged thru rest of week until the High in Atlantic begins to move to the NE. Trades will continue brisk with only widely scattered diurnal showers/TSTMS expected. A wave well to the E near 28W is moving E at 20kts will move into the E Caribbean this weekend. No Tropical Depressions or Storms expected thru weekend. FCST Precip: Dry today, very slight chance of Showers. Showers/Squall increase Virgin Islands S tonight and Thu30 with wave. WIND N of DomRep: Wed29 090/15-18kts, Thu30, 094/15-20kts, Fri31 100/18-20kts, Sat01 110/18-20kts, Sun02 108/15-20kts S of DomRep: Wed29 080/20-25kts, Thu30 080/20-25kts Fri31 090/20kts, Sat01 082/20kts, Sun02 089/20kts N Puerto Rico: Wed29 080/18-20kts, Thu30 102/18kts, Fri31 085/15-18kts, Sat01 080/15-18kts, Sun02 079/15-18kts VirginIslands: Wed29 075/18-20kts, Thu30 095/18-20kts, Fri31 080/15-18kts, Sat01 085/15-18kts, Sun02 080 15-18kts Leewards: Wed29 085/15-20kts, Thu30 095/15-18kts, Fri31 080/15-18kts, Sat01 072/15-18kts, Sun02 070/15kts Windwards: Wed29 075/15-18kts, Thu30 085/15kts, Fri31 075/15kts, Sat01 075/15kts, Sun02 070/15kts Venezuela: Wed29 070/10-15kts, Thu30 090/12-15kts, Fri31 085/12-15kts, Sat01 075/12-15kts, Sun02 075/12-15kts ABCs: Wed29 085/20kts, Thu30 095/20kts, Fri31 100/20kts, Sat01 090/20kts, Sun02 090/20kts SEAS: N of DomRep: Wed29 095/5-6ft 7s, Thu30 095/5-6ft 6s, Fri31 095/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 095/4-5ft 7s, Sun02 095/5-6ft 7s S of DomRep: Wed29 096/6-8ft 7s, Thu30 090/7-8ft 8s, Fri31 100/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 095/6ft 7s, Sun02 090/5-ft 7s N Puerto Rico: Wed29 095/6-7ft 7s, Thu30 090/6ft 8s, Fri31 095/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 095/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 090/5-6ft 7s VirginIslands: Wed29 095/6-7ft 7s, Thu30 086/6-7ft 8s, Fri31 080/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 080/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 085/5-6ft 7s Leewards: Wed29 090/6-7ft 8s, Thu30 080/6ft 8s, Fri31 080/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 080/5-6ft 8s, Sun02 080/5-6ft 8s Windwards: Wed29 085/5-6ft 8s, Thu30 080/5-6ft 8s, Fri31 075/5-6ft 7s, Sat01 080/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 075/5-6ft 7s Venezuela: Wed29 062/4-6ft 8s, Thu30 060/3-4ft 7s, Fri31 075/4-5ft 7s, Sat01 070/5-6ft 7s, Sun02 065/5-6ft 7s ABCs: Wed29 070/7-8ft 8s, Thu30 065/6-7ft 7s, Fri31 085/6-7ft 7s, Sat01 080/6-7ft 7s, Sun02 080/6-7ft 7s (View Post...)