The Hynes Honeymoon!

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Monopoly Reality

15 June 2009 | Fare, Huahine
Author: Elizabeth
Pic: The author swimming in triumph after her big victory.

To set the record straight, I had the game in the bag. The fat lady had sung. The dye was cast. I owned the light purples & the oranges. The best strip of land on the entire board: States Ave on down to New York Avenue, it could not be beat. Not only does my own vast Monopoly experience tell me this is true, the research is out there on the Internet to prove it.

In fact, many sources online rave about my properties... And I quote:

"The properties between the Jail square and the Free Parking square are landed on the most, because of the jump caused by landing on Go To Jail."
Strategies that Will Help You Win Monopoly
September 24, 2008 by Isaac Parris

"The orange set is far superior to any other: It is visited quite often... and property costs are relatively cheap..."
Monopoly/Strategy
From Wikibooks, the open-content textbooks collection

Although Drew and many like him might be easily blinded by the luxurious & lucrative reputation of Boardwalk and Park Place, the writing is on the wall. It is all about probability and return on investment. The best data comes from Truman Collins' Index Page. Mr. Collins has complied the statistical data necessary to confirm once and for all, the best properties and thus forecast the winner of any monopoly game.

Our game in question ended as such: I had the light purples (with hotels) and the oranges (with $2000 in cash to purchase more homes). Drew had the railroads and Boardwalk and Park Place (with one house on each and little cash).

If you review Mr. Collin's Long Term Probabilities for Ending Up on Each of the Squares of Monopoly, one quickly understands that not all properties have the same likelihood of being landed on. While Boardwalk ranks 18th and Park Place 33rd, many of my properties were leading the pack: NY Ave 4th, TN Ave 7th and St. James Place 12th.

Mr. Collins takes his research one step further and develops a matrix that shows the Expected Income Per Opponent Roll on All Properties. Using this information, I am able to predict the expected income for both Drew and I for any roll by our opponent.

E's worst-scenario: Purples with hotels + Oranges = $66.7148
E's realistic scenario: Purples with hotels + Oranges with 3 houses each = $110.2521

Drew's realistic scenario: Boardwalk & Park Place one house each + 4 RR = $33.6941
Drew's best scenario: Boardwalk & Park Place two houses on each + 4 RR= $51.30338
Drew's dream scenario: Boardwalk & Park Place with hotels + 4 RR = $95.7408

The writing is now on the wall (blog). Case closed.

And yes, not having a job gives me a lot of spare time.
Comments
Vessel Name: Honeymoon
Vessel Make/Model: 2004 Lagoon 380, Hull 279, Owner's Version
Hailing Port: San Francisco, CA
Crew: Seth & Elizabeth Hynes
About:
Seth & Elizabeth met in 2004 and have long since agreed that they did not want to live "the typical life. [...]
Extra:
OUR EXPERIENCE: Seth is a lifelong sailor with over 25 years of boating experience. His family taught him to sail via ASA instruction and through many weekend trips on their family boat, a Benateau 35, sailed on Lake St. Clair, Michigan. He then moved to San Francisco where he raced with two [...]
Home Page: http://www.sailblogs.com/member/honeymoon/

Seth & Elizabeth Hynes

Who: Seth & Elizabeth Hynes
Port: San Francisco, CA